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Different Views on Yankees’ 2024 Outlook: Baseball Reference, Fangraphs and BetRivers Sportsbook Weigh In

Baseball Reference Predicts Yankees to End Season in Last Place

Different Views on Yankees’ 2024 Outlook: Baseball Reference, Fangraphs and BetRivers Sportsbook Weigh In

The stat analysts at Baseball Reference are not optimistic about the Yankees’ chances of making the postseason in 2024. They project the Yankees to have only a 2.7 percent chance of reaching the playoffs and winning just 71.6 games, which is lower than both the Pirates and Ohtani-less Angels.

In contrast, Fangraphs predict that the Yankees will win 88 games, making them one of the top teams in baseball. However, BetRivers Sportsbook is even more confident in their chances, projecting them to win an impressive 91.5 games with +650 odds for having the most wins in baseball.

BetRivers also gives the Yankees a 77.01 percent chance of making it to the playoffs, significantly higher than Baseball Reference’s projection. But what sets Baseball Reference apart from other projections is their unique approach to calculating run differential and strength of schedule from previous seasons’ prior 100 games. This system does not take into account injuries, players or variance but rather focuses solely on run differentials and changes in schedule difficulty.

While pessimistic projections may be concerning for fans, it is important to remember that offseason acquisitions can greatly impact a team’s performance on the field. The addition of Juan Soto could greatly improve the Yankees’ offense, while Aaron Judge staying healthy could provide a much-needed boost from last season’s disappointing results.

Overall, it is crucial for fans and analysts alike to consider multiple perspectives when evaluating a team’s potential success in upcoming seasons. While predictions can give insight into how teams may perform on paper, actual outcomes depend heavily on factors such as player health and offseason additions that cannot be accounted for by statistical models alone.

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